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ETF v Mutual Funds; Why They're Less Risky

Because mutual funds are actively managed, and because their profit depends on Assets Under Management (AUM), their performances are often manipulated by the management in a variety of ways, in order to meet their own goals, that are not necessarily in YOUR best interests as an investor. At issuee are performance metrics such as short- and long-term performance above peers, marketing to potential investors to grow AUM based on past performance, and avoiding massive redemptions when the market gets sour. A lot of research is being published that discusses the pros and cons of mutual funds vs. ETFs. Here are a couple of examples of the issues: Quarterly "window dressing" - buying or selling certain assets so that the q/q performance appears to be in line with expectations Unbalanced allocation - Loading up on particular assets to take advantage of dividend payouts or market timing Overhead fees - decreasing present fees for the appearance of efficiency, only to...

Happy Thanksgiving!

My your wealth be measured in family connections and friendships, and may you be safe in your journeys this Holiday season.

To ETF or Not To ETF?

Exchange traded funds (ETFs) are all the rage. They come large and small, long and short, ultra and supersized, and track just about any sector, geography, investing style or commodity you can think of. The great thing is they trade like stocks yet share some of the characteristics of mutual funds (without the massive overhead some mutual funds carry). ETFs are baskets of like stocks in a particular industry or region or index, and so, if you think for example high tech is going to take off, rather than study and research for which particular stocks to buy, jump on a high tech ETF and enjoy the benefits of spreading out your bet. You might not get as high a return as you could have with that one perfect stock pick, but then again, you have to be a really good stock picker while also bearing the risks of a less-diverse portfolio. Some say ETFs have lower overhead than mutual funds and perform just as well, because of the reduced fees. Some even say during down markets ETFs fair better t...

Challenges for Mutual Fund Managers

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Figure 1 (click to enlarge) Now, we have defined mutual funds as digital assets that can be distributed thru a virtual network, from source where the value is created and managed, to the retail investors where payment of fees is made (plus information about self is granted) in exchange for that created / perceived value, via the wholesalers, distributors, financial advisors and institutional investing networks. But not all is simple, mutual fund managers must navigate a stormy sea of: • Redemptions (clients departing) • Performance (NAV decreasing, Cap gains & Dividends decreasing) • Risk (volatility increasing) • Asset Allocation (what’s the right mix?) • Modeling (efficient frontier “what ifs”) • Competition (perception of better & best) • Disintermediation / Transparency? • Reputation (least worst performing?) • Future? - How will they perform relative to their peers and other assets such as Hedge Funds and ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds)? – Independent scoring of “Diversificat...

Mutual Fund Supply Chain Optimization

We're going to build upon our ideas that the financial industry is a supply chain and information and value flow in both directions, inbound and outbound. See our Mutual Fund Industry Supply Chain Model post. The greatest point of value creation is at the portfolio construction stage (creating and maintaining that list). Preservation of that value (capital) must be supported across the supply chain. Propagation of that value can be diluted when repackaging occurs, that is, when mutual fund wholesalers and distributors (middle men) and financial advisors create bundles of mutual funds with other assets that change the expected returns, diversification, volatility and relative performance, while also adding on expenses and fees, directly charged against the capital. Pervasive technology, proven processes, and experienced people, at all stages assures value, preservation and risk control, or at least, it should. Because of time periods and variability, regeneration (maintenance) must...

Mutual Fund Industry Supply Chain Model

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Figure 1 (click to enlarge) The mutual fund industry consists of a complex web of connections, many to many relationships, wherein information is exchanged for value. Dissecting each class of member in this diagram, you can imagine what type of information trades for what types of value. Value is created at the source, where mutual funds are generated and managed. Better fund cosntruction results in better value. Skilled fund managers tend to attract more assets under management (AUM). Even unskilled fund managers can too, if they have really good marketing, and good distribution via the channels. Skilled and unskilled investors gain access to that value thru a variety of channels, and are willing to pay management fees for that value. Some call this value "alpha", that is, the amount of return gained above what the market would otherwise bear. We can't forget risk, so investors are also 'buying' a certain degree of mitigation of risk which is another form of v...

Mutual Fund as a Digital (Virtual) Asset

• Mutual Fund (List of Assets) – Does not have physical size, weight, color – Does have a ‘particular collection’ of virtual assets – The construct of the collection defines the potential for value – It can be sold as-is, repackaged with other funds, grouped with dissimilar asset classes for added diversification and preservation of capital – Hence, the concept of a supply chain can be applied to the distribution of funds (via wholesalers and distributors) and in the reverse to the collection of capital (AUM) and management and distribution fees (loads, premiums, expenses, …) •Fund of Funds (List of Lists) – This is layering cost upon cost, idea upon idea – Value created, perhaps also undermined?